Numera’s Herd Immunity Tracker: Vaccine progress stalls

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FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE MONTREAL, QC, April 23, 2021 (Press Release) – Numera today released the latest update of its Herd Immunity Tracker. This report will be published weekly for the remainder of the year. Its purpose is to complement available information on COVID-19 vaccination rates with timely estimates on projected times remaining until 70%+ immunity for all major economies. Global progress towards ‘herd’ immunity stalled this past week, primarily owing to a reduced pace of vaccinations in emerging economies. The…
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Introducing Numera Analytics’s herd immunity tracker

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FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE MONTREAL, QC, April 16, 2021 (Press Release) – Numera today released the first edition of its Herd Immunity Tracker. This report will be published weekly for the remainder of the year. Its purpose is to complement available information on COVID-19 vaccination rates with timely estimates on projected times remaining until 70%+ immunity for all major economies. Joaquin Kritz Lara, Numera’s head of Macro Research, commented on this new weekly report: “Since most remaining economic losses worldwide are…
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Global retail sales continued to weaken in Q1

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FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE MONTREAL, QC, April 8, 2021 (Press Release) – Numera today released the latest update of its Global Retail Sales Tracker, which suggests that global retail spending continued to weaken in Q1 after peaking last October. Real retail sales edged up 0.8% in January, trailing expectations. The underperformance primarily stemmed from emerging markets, where retail traffic fell 7% in January amid a surge in COVID cases.
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Weak global industrial production in early 2021

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FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE MONTREAL, QC, March 31, 2021 (Press Release) – Numera today released the latest update of its Global Industrial Tracker, which points to weakening production in early 2021. Our revised estimate for February reveals a 1% drop versus January, mainly due to reduced production amid severe winter storms in the US South. The February weather shock pushes world industrial activity 1.8% below its pre-COVID path.
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Global retail sales bounce back in early 2021

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FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE MONTREAL, QC, March 3, 2021 (Press Release) – Numera today released the latest update of its Global Retail Sales Tracker, which suggests that retail spending picked up in early 2021 after two months of decline. Global retail turnover fell 0.4% in December, significantly better than the 1% contraction we had anticipated in last month’s Retail Tracker. This outperformance primarily reflected a stronger-than-expected recovery in Western Europe as authorities eased control measures.
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Vaccine optimism boosting global production

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FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE MONTREAL, QC, February 26, 2021 (Press Release) –Numera today released the latest update of its Global Industrial Tracker, which points to weakening but positive output growth early in 2021. However, we expect industrial activity to accelerate during the summer months as higher vaccination rates lift demand for consumer goods. Global industrial production grew 1.2% month-over-month in December. The strong performance primarily reflected strong growth in China and the United States. Production in China continues to benefit from…
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Second wave caused retail sales to contract in late 2020

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FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE MONTREAL, QC, February 1, 2021 (Press Release) – Numera today released the latest update of its Global Retail Sales Tracker, which confirms that the ‘second wave’ caused a contraction in global goods consumption in late 2020. Worldwide retail sales fell 1.7% month-over-month in November, a steeper drop than the 0.7% decline we had anticipated in last month’s report. The underperformance primarily stemmed from a 5.5% decline in real retail sales in Western Europe, where partial lockdowns (mainly…
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Vaccine optimism propped up global production in late 2020

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FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE MONTREAL, QC, January 26, 2021 (Press Release) – Numera today released the latest update of its Global Industrial Tracker, which reveals that global production accelerated in late 2020 even as mobility weakened. World industrial output increased 0.6% month-over-month (MoM) in November, even as growth weakened in advanced economies in response to tighter control measures. Our revised estimate for December points to a strong 1.3% gain versus November, buoyed by sturdy output growth in China and the United…
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