Embracing
Uncertainty
Macroeconomic analysis is imperfect. Even with well-specified models, future shocks will necessarily cause projections to deviate from their outcome. Failure to account for different sources of uncertainty – and their pattern of transmission – can result in poor decision-making.
At Numera Analytics, our goal is to help clients understand sources of growth, quantify downside risks, and anticipate shifts in the global economy. Unlike conventional economists and strategists, we rely on sophisticated probability forecasting techniques to evaluate less likely, yet economically meaningful, scenarios. The approach is instrumental for investment strategy, as it helps identify the many risks surrounding future outcomes.
Request InformationOur Methodology
Our research spectrum illustrates Numera's approach to macroeconomic analysis. While primarily empirical, our tried and tested models incorporate theoretical and qualitative insights should these prove useful in prediction. The procedure ensures transparency and flexibility, with model choice differing widely across concepts depending on their forecasting performance.
Features of Service
- Global Macro Monitor
Monthly update on global macro conditions, impact on asset prices and risks to the outlook. - US Macro Monitor
Monthly update on US macro conditions, impact on asset prices and risks to the outlook. - Global Industry Monitor
Monthly perspective on global industrial activity and investment implications.
- Data Trackers
Monthly data and commentary on global manufacturing activity, retail sales and industrial production. - Thematic Research Reports
Regular in-depth research exploring important global economic and financial themes. - Flash Reports
Concise and timely commentaries on significant market events. - Webinars or presentations
Webinars, presentations and custom research.*
* Additional costs may apply
Latest Research
Numera’s global macro service combines modern macro theory with advanced quantitative techniques to help global investors and firms evaluate economic and financial stress while minimizing errors in prediction.
See the oil market example below for further details on the Numera approach.
View the full reportBecome a client
Whether you're looking for an individual report or require extensive market research and quantitative analysis, we offer you the flexibility to become a client under your terms.
Contact us