Zero-COVID hits commodities

May 12, 2022 | Articles

The May 2022 edition of our Commodity Market Outlook focuses on industrial metals, covering recent market developments and our pricing outlook for copper and iron ore for 2022 and 2023. As usual, we also provide an update on our latest views on broad commodity markets.

Read More

Bond weakness to continue

April 26, 2022 | Articles

The April 2022 edition of our US Macro Stategist focuses on the US bond market outlook as the Fed reduces liquidity support. We evaluate the attractiveness of sovereign debt as a macro hedge, assess duration plays, and evaluate the relative appeal of inflation-linked vs. nominal bonds.

Read More

Gold’s time to shine

April 4, 2022 | Articles

The April 2022 edition of our Commodity Market Outlook focuses on gold, an asset class that is gaining considerable interest in a context of elevated inflation and geopolitical risks. As usual, we also offer an update on our latest views on broad commodity markets.

Read More

Not that 70s show

March 24, 2022 | Articles

The March 2022 edition of our US Macro Stategist focuses on the impact of rising oil prices and Fed tightening on the US economy and stock/bond portfolios. While both factors will dent growth prospects, we believe that fears of 1970s-type stagflation remain overstated, favouring risky assets.

Read More

The Russian oil roller coaster

March 17, 2022 | Articles

The March 2022 edition of our Commodity Market Outlook focuses on crude oil, covering recent market developments and our pricing outlook over the coming year. As usual, we also provide an update on our latest views on broad commodity markets.

Read More

Fed wants to avoid repeat of 1970s

March 1, 2022 | Articles

The February 2022 edition of our US Macro Stategist focuses on two key sources of risk to the US equity outlook: a lengthy Fed tightening cycle, and a speculative spike in oil prices. We explore the implications of both shocks on recession risk, and the probability of a ‘bear’ market.

Read More

Commodities to outperform in 2022

February 17, 2022 | Articles

The February 2022 edition of our Commodity Market Outlook focuses on industrial metals, covering recent market developments and our pricing outlook for copper and iron ore for 2022 and 2023. As usual, we also provide an update on our latest views on broad commodity markets.

Read More

Is 2022 the new 2001?

January 31, 2022 | Articles

The January 2022 edition of our US Macro Stategist explores the factors behind the ongoing stock market sell-off, and the likelihood of a lengthy correction. Given low recession risk, investors should retain a high equity exposure, but rotate away from tech as rising yields compress valuations.

Read More

Gold is on your side

January 12, 2022 | Articles

The January 2022 edition of our Commodity Market Outlook focuses on gold, covering recent market developments and our pricing outlook over the coming year.  As usual, we also provide an update on our latest views on broad commodity markets.

Read More

Will the US equity rally end in 2022?

December 21, 2021 | Articles

The December 2021 edition of Numera’s US Macro Stategist discusses our key macro assumptions for 2022, and offer a variety of investment recommendations to maximize alpha as the US economy transitions towards an overheating environment.

Read More