Central banks turn hawkish

April 14, 2022 | Articles

The April 2022 edition of Numera Analytics’ Global Macro Perspectives report features in-depth commentary of the key macro themes shaping the global economic outlook, and our latest country and regional views on growth, inflation and exchange rates.

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Gold’s time to shine

April 4, 2022 | Articles

The April 2022 edition of our Commodity Market Outlook focuses on gold, an asset class that is gaining considerable interest in a context of elevated inflation and geopolitical risks. As usual, we also offer an update on our latest views on broad commodity markets.

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Not that 70s show

March 24, 2022 | Articles

The March 2022 edition of our US Macro Stategist focuses on the impact of rising oil prices and Fed tightening on the US economy and stock/bond portfolios. While both factors will dent growth prospects, we believe that fears of 1970s-type stagflation remain overstated, favouring risky assets.

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The Russian oil roller coaster

March 17, 2022 | Articles

The March 2022 edition of our Commodity Market Outlook focuses on crude oil, covering recent market developments and our pricing outlook over the coming year. As usual, we also provide an update on our latest views on broad commodity markets.

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How much risk is priced in?

March 15, 2022 | Articles

The March 2022 edition of Numera’s Global Macro Strategist edition edition focuses on the global investment implications of the Russia-Ukraine war. We discuss the immediate and longer-term impact of the war on global growth, inflation and monetary policy, and on the global equity outlook.

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Sanctions dent growth

March 8, 2022 | Articles

The March 2022 edition of Numera Analytics’ Global Macro Perspectives report features in-depth commentary of the key macro themes shaping the global economic outlook, and our latest country and regional views on growth, inflation and currencies.

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Fed wants to avoid repeat of 1970s

March 1, 2022 | Articles

The February 2022 edition of our US Macro Stategist focuses on two key sources of risk to the US equity outlook: a lengthy Fed tightening cycle, and a speculative spike in oil prices. We explore the implications of both shocks on recession risk, and the probability of a ‘bear’ market.

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Commodities to outperform in 2022

February 17, 2022 | Articles

The February 2022 edition of our Commodity Market Outlook focuses on industrial metals, covering recent market developments and our pricing outlook for copper and iron ore for 2022 and 2023. As usual, we also provide an update on our latest views on broad commodity markets.

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Risks from Russia underpriced

February 8, 2022 | Articles

The February 2022 edition of Numera Analytics’ Global Macro Perspectives report features in-depth commentary of the key macro themes shaping the global economic outlook, as well as our latest country and regional views on growth, inflation and exchange rates.

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Only Putin knows

February 2, 2022 | Articles

The February 2022 edition of Numera’s Global Macro Strategist edition focuses on the Russia-Ukraine conflict, a key source of uncertainty for the global investment outlook. We explore spillover effects on financial markets, and offer suggestions to maximize returns in a context of elevated geopolitical risk.

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