Adapting portfolios to overheating

December 16, 2021 | Articles

The December 2021 edition of Numera’s Global Macro Strategist offers a roadmap to navigate global financial markets in 2022. We first present our key macro predictions for next year, and then discuss how to adapt portfolios to a less favourable global landscape..

Read More

Omicron will not derail global growth

December 14, 2021 | Articles

The December 2021 edition of Numera Analytics’ Global Macro Perspectives report features in-depth commentary of the key macro themes shaping the global economic outlook, as well as our latest country and regional views on growth, inflation and exchange rates.

Read More

Omicron a positive for commodities

December 9, 2021 | Articles

The December 2021 edition of our Commodity Market Outlook report offers two-year price forecasts for all the key sectors (oil, industrial metals, gold) we cover on a regular basis. As usual, we also provide an update on our latest views on broad commodity markets.

Read More

Is the Fed right about inflation?

November 30, 2021 | Articles

The November 2021 edition of Numera’s US Macro Stategist explores the ongoing ‘transitory’ versus ‘permanent’ inflation debate. We find strong evidence that professional forecasters and policymakers are underestimating US inflationary risks, and therefore the path of long-term yields in 2022.

Read More

EMs still risky bet for 2022

November 18, 2021 | Articles

The November 2021 edition of Numera’s Global Macro Strategist explores the case for an increased EM exposure in global portfolios in 2022. Although EM assets are trading at a discount, we find global and domestic macro forces weaken the relative appeal of most EM investments.

Read More

Oil rally maxing out

November 11, 2021 | Articles

The November 2021 edition of our Commodity Market Outlook report focuses on crude oil, covering recent market developments and our pricing outlook over the coming year. As usual, we also provide an update on our latest views on broad commodity markets.

Read More

Central banks at a crossroads

November 9, 2021 | Articles

The November 2021 edition of Numera Analytics’ Global Macro Perspectives report features in-depth commentary of the key macro themes shaping the global economic outlook, as well as our latest country and regional views on growth, inflation and exchange rates.

Read More

From reflation to overheating

November 4, 2021 | Articles

The October 2021 edition of Numera’s US Macro Stategist discusses the investment implications of a probable shift from reflation to overheating. We find strong evidence the economy could overheat in 2022, favouring value over growth and worsening the appeal of sovereign bonds as a macro hedge.

Read More

Will energy shortages derail growth?

October 21, 2021 | Articles

The October 2021 edition of Numera’s Global Macro Strategist explores the factors behind soaring global energy costs, and investigate the implications of power shortages for the global growth outlook. We also discuss implications for commodity investments and energy exporters.

Read More

Copper at a turning point

October 14, 2021 | Articles

The October 2021 edition of our Commodity Market Outlook report focuses on industrial metals, covering recent market developments and our pricing outlook for copper and iron ore over the coming year. As usual, we also provide an update on our latest views on broad commodity markets.

Read More