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Apr 16

Introducing Numera Analytics’s herd immunity tracker

By Press
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE MONTREAL, QC, April 16, 2021 (Press Release) – Numera today released the first edition of its Herd Immunity Tracker. This report will be published weekly for the remainder of the year. Its purpose is to complement available information on COVID-19 vaccination rates with timely estimates on projected times remaining until 70%+ immunity for all major economies. Joaquin Kritz Lara, Numera’s head of Macro Research, commented on this new weekly report: “Since most remaining economic losses worldwide are…
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Apr 15

DM outlook is increasingly bullish

By Articles
The April 2021 edition of Numera Analytics' Global Macro Perspectives report features in-depth commentary of the key macro themes shaping the global economic outlook, as well as our latest country and regional views on growth, inflation, and exchange rates. 
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Apr 08

Global retail sales continued to weaken in Q1

By Press
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE MONTREAL, QC, April 8, 2021 (Press Release) – Numera today released the latest update of its Global Retail Sales Tracker, which suggests that global retail spending continued to weaken in Q1 after peaking last October. Real retail sales edged up 0.8% in January, trailing expectations. The underperformance primarily stemmed from emerging markets, where retail traffic fell 7% in January amid a surge in COVID cases.
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Apr 07

Are higher yields here to stay?

By Articles
The March 2021 edition of Numera’s US Macro Monitor explores the factors behind the surge in long-term Treasury yields and its implications for US investment strategy. We find that the increase primarily reflects stronger growth prospects, which improves the relative appeal of US equity holdings.
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Mar 31

Weak global industrial production in early 2021

By Press
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE MONTREAL, QC, March 31, 2021 (Press Release) – Numera today released the latest update of its Global Industrial Tracker, which points to weakening production in early 2021. Our revised estimate for February reveals a 1% drop versus January, mainly due to reduced production amid severe winter storms in the US South. The February weather shock pushes world industrial activity 1.8% below its pre-COVID path.
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Mar 30

What is behind China’s equity sell-off

By Articles
In the March 2021 edition of Numera’s Global Macro Monitor, we discuss China’s economic outlook and the factors behind the ongoing CN equity sell-off. We find that the correction realigns stocks with macro fundamentals, which in a context of strong global growth limits tail risk on new investments.
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