Is the dollar rally sustainable?

May 17, 2022 | Articles

The May 2022 edition of Numera’s Global Macro Strategist focuses on the US dollar, up 5% this past month in response to rising global financial stress. We present our views on the dollar against all major currencies, and explore the impact of a rising USD on global financial markets..

Read More

The Beijing policy putt

April 19, 2022 | Articles

The April 2022 edition of Numera’s Global Macro Strategist focuses on China, discussing the growth implications of Beijing’s Zero-COVID policy and increased fiscal and monetary support. In addition, we investigate whether Chinese stocks are gaining appeal after declining nearly 50% this past year.

Read More

How much risk is priced in?

March 15, 2022 | Articles

The March 2022 edition of Numera’s Global Macro Strategist edition edition focuses on the global investment implications of the Russia-Ukraine war. We discuss the immediate and longer-term impact of the war on global growth, inflation and monetary policy, and on the global equity outlook.

Read More

Only Putin knows

February 2, 2022 | Articles

The February 2022 edition of Numera’s Global Macro Strategist edition focuses on the Russia-Ukraine conflict, a key source of uncertainty for the global investment outlook. We explore spillover effects on financial markets, and offer suggestions to maximize returns in a context of elevated geopolitical risk.

Read More

Europe’s comeback year

January 20, 2022 | Articles

The January 2022 edition of Numera’s Global Macro Strategist focuses on Europe. After a more than a decade of underperformance, we believe that investments in the region are poised to outperform in 2022, benefiting from strong growth, dovish ECB policy and attractive valuations.

Read More

Adapting portfolios to overheating

December 16, 2021 | Articles

The December 2021 edition of Numera’s Global Macro Strategist offers a roadmap to navigate global financial markets in 2022. We first present our key macro predictions for next year, and then discuss how to adapt portfolios to a less favourable global landscape..

Read More

EMs still risky bet for 2022

November 18, 2021 | Articles

The November 2021 edition of Numera’s Global Macro Strategist explores the case for an increased EM exposure in global portfolios in 2022. Although EM assets are trading at a discount, we find global and domestic macro forces weaken the relative appeal of most EM investments.

Read More