Adapting portfolios to overheating

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The December 2021 edition of Numera’s Global Macro Strategist offers a roadmap to navigate global financial markets in 2022. We first present our key macro predictions for next year, and then discuss how to adapt portfolios to a less favourable global landscape..
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Manufacturing resilient to Delta

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FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE MONTREAL, QC, August 25, 2021 (Press Release) – Numera today released the latest update of its Global Manufacturing Tracker, which reveals manufacturing output remains resilient to the Delta wave of infections. After contracting 0.8% month-over-month in May, global factory output rebounded in June, rising 1.1%. Inflationary pressures eased somewhat in June, but remain elevated by historical standards. Global PPI inflation came in at 11% annualized, versus 20%+ over the 3 previous months.
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Will China bounce back?

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The August 2021 edition of Numera’s Global Macro Monitor discusses the factors behind China’s ongoing equity market sell-off. We explore the impact of macro forces and antitrust legislation on recent market performance, and evaluate the attractiveness of CN equity investments over the coming year.
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Numera’s Herd Immunity Tracker: EZ continues to lead the way

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FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE MONTREAL, QC, August 6, 2021 (Press Release) – Numera today released the latest update of its Herd Immunity Tracker. This report will be published weekly for the remainder of the year. Its purpose is to complement available information on COVID-19 vaccination rates with timely estimates on projected times remaining until 70%+ immunity for all major economies. Apart from the stalled vaccination campaign in the US, developed markets are still making headway towards ‘herd’ immunity. While the projected…
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Numera’s Herd Immunity Tracker: Delta revitalizes campaigns

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FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE MONTREAL, QC, July 30, 2021 (Press Release) – Numera today released the latest update of its Herd Immunity Tracker. This report will be published weekly for the remainder of the year. Its purpose is to complement available information on COVID-19 vaccination rates with timely estimates on projected times remaining until 70%+ immunity for all major economies. Global vaccination rates picked up this past week amid a growing sense of urgency to minimize the impact of the highly…
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Global manufacturing normalizing

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FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE MONTREAL, QC, July 27, 2021 (Press Release) – Numera today released the latest update of its Global Manufacturing Tracker, which reveals manufacturing output is normalizing into mid-2021. Worldwide factory output fell 1% in May, with production edging down in most region, owing to new COVID outbreaks and substitution towards contact services in countries with a high vaccine coverage. Despite weakening demand, inflationary pressures continued to build, with elevated commodity inflation lifting global producer prices by a staggering…
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Numera’s Herd Immunity Tracker: The race against Delta

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FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE MONTREAL, QC, July 23, 2021 (Press Release) – Numera today released the latest update of its Herd Immunity Tracker. This report will be published weekly for the remainder of the year. Its purpose is to complement available information on COVID-19 vaccination rates with timely estimates on projected times remaining until 70%+ immunity for all major economies. The advent of the Delta COVID variant is creating a renewed sense of urgency around the speed of vaccination campaigns. Clinical…
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Numera’s Herd Immunity Tracker: A mixed bag

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FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE MONTREAL, QC, July 16, 2021 (Press Release) – Numera today released the latest update of its Herd Immunity Tracker. This report will be published weekly for the remainder of the year. Its purpose is to complement available information on COVID-19 vaccination rates with timely estimates on projected times remaining until 70%+ immunity for all major economies. Global vaccination campaigns have stalled in July, primarily owing to a slower pace of inoculation in emerging economies. At current rates…
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Numera’s Herd Immunity Tracker: Emerging market progress stalls

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FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE MONTREAL, QC, July 9, 2021 (Press Release) – Numera today released the latest update of its Herd Immunity Tracker. This report will be published weekly for the remainder of the year. Its purpose is to complement available information on COVID-19 vaccination rates with timely estimates on projected times remaining until 70%+ immunity for all major economies. Global vaccination campaigns stalled over the past week, increasing the projected time towards 70%+ immunity by 5.2% to 4 months. Importantly,…
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