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Numera’s Herd Immunity Tracker: EZ continues to lead the way

August 6, 2021 | Press

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

MONTREAL, QC, August 6, 2021 (Press Release) – Numera today released the latest update of its Herd Immunity Tracker. This report will be published weekly for the remainder of the year. Its purpose is to complement available information on COVID-19 vaccination rates with timely estimates on projected times remaining until 70%+ immunity for all major economies.

Apart from the stalled vaccination campaign in the US, developed markets are still making headway towards ‘herd’ immunity. While the projected time for the US remains above 4.5 months, other DMs have cut back the projected timeline by 10% this past week to 1.2 months. Elsewhere, fears over the Delta variant are causing vaccination campaigns to accelerate, with significant progress recorded in most major emerging economies.

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Numera’s Herd Immunity Tracker: Delta revitalizes campaigns

July 30, 2021 | Press

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

MONTREAL, QC, July 30, 2021 (Press Release) – Numera today released the latest update of its Herd Immunity Tracker. This report will be published weekly for the remainder of the year. Its purpose is to complement available information on COVID-19 vaccination rates with timely estimates on projected times remaining until 70%+ immunity for all major economies.

Global vaccination rates picked up this past week amid a growing sense of urgency to minimize the impact of the highly infectious Delta variant. At the current pace of inoculation, the world is now 3.5 months away from surpassing the 70%+ immunity threshold. Most major economies cut back their projected timeline by double digits, led by 30%+ gains in Canada and China (now less than one month away from the 70% threshold).

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Numera’s Herd Immunity Tracker: The race against Delta

July 23, 2021 | Press

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

MONTREAL, QC, July 23, 2021 (Press Release) – Numera today released the latest update of its Herd Immunity Tracker. This report will be published weekly for the remainder of the year. Its purpose is to complement available information on COVID-19 vaccination rates with timely estimates on projected times remaining until 70%+ immunity for all major economies.

The advent of the Delta COVID variant is creating a renewed sense of urgency around the speed of vaccination campaigns. Clinical and epidemiological data reveals Delta is much more transmissible than previous mutations, and explains the bulk of new COVID cases in Europe and Asia. The highly infectious nature of the Delta variant means countries with low vaccination rates could experience a much more disruptive ‘third’ wave.

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Numera’s Herd Immunity Tracker: A mixed bag

July 16, 2021 | Press

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

MONTREAL, QC, July 16, 2021 (Press Release) – Numera today released the latest update of its Herd Immunity Tracker. This report will be published weekly for the remainder of the year. Its purpose is to complement available information on COVID-19 vaccination rates with timely estimates on projected times remaining until 70%+ immunity for all major economies.

Global vaccination campaigns have stalled in July, primarily owing to a slower pace of inoculation in emerging economies. At current rates of vaccination, the world should attain 70%+ immunity by the end of November. Importantly, the global average hides considerable heterogeneity by region. While developed markets should surpass the 70% immunity threshold in less than two months, emerging markets will only achieve that objective by year-end.

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Numera’s Herd Immunity Tracker: Emerging market progress stalls

July 9, 2021 | Press

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

MONTREAL, QC, July 9, 2021 (Press Release) – Numera today released the latest update of its Herd Immunity Tracker. This report will be published weekly for the remainder of the year. Its purpose is to complement available information on COVID-19 vaccination rates with timely estimates on projected times remaining until 70%+ immunity for all major economies.

Global vaccination campaigns stalled over the past week, increasing the projected time towards 70%+ immunity by 5.2% to 4 months. Importantly, all of the slowdown stemmed from emerging markets, where the vaccination rate stalled after two months of near-continuous improvements. In contrast, developed market maintained their daily pace of inoculations steady at 1.3 doses per hundred people, cutting back the projected timeline by 6.7% to two months.

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Numera’s Herd Immunity Tracker: Canada leads the way

July 2, 2021 | Press

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

MONTREAL, QC, July 2, 2021 (Press Release) – Numera today released the latest update of its Herd Immunity Tracker. This report will be published weekly for the remainder of the year. Its purpose is to complement available information on COVID-19 vaccination rates with timely estimates on projected times remaining until 70%+ immunity for all major economies.

Global vaccination campaigns accelerated further this past week, reducing the projected timeline towards 70%+ immunity by 5% to 3.4 months. Most of the improvement stemmed from DMs, led by impressive vaccination runs in the EZ and Canada. After a slow initial rollout, Canada now boasts the highest initial vaccine coverage across DMs. At the current pace of inoculation, Canada should surpass the 70% threshold in less than one month, faster than any other major economy.

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Numera’s Herd Immunity Tracker: Emerging markets catching up

June 25, 2021 | Press

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

MONTREAL, QC, June 25, 2021 (Press Release) – Numera today released the latest update of its Herd Immunity Tracker. This report will be published weekly for the remainder of the year. Its purpose is to complement available information on COVID-19 vaccination rates with timely estimates on projected times remaining until 70%+ immunity for all major economies.

Global vaccination rates continued to accelerate this past week, cutting back the estimated time towards 70%+ immunity by 12% to 3.8 months. With DMs now exceeding a 50% coverage on initial doses, much of the improvement stemmed from EMs – where a much lower coverage translates into higher initial take-up rates. At the current pace of inoculation, EMs should surpass the 70% immunity threshold in 4.3 months.

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Numera’s Herd Immunity Tracker: Developed market progress continues

June 18, 2021 | Press

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

MONTREAL, QC, June 18, 2021 (Press Release) – Numera today released the latest update of its Herd Immunity Tracker. This report will be published weekly for the remainder of the year. Its purpose is to complement available information on COVID-19 vaccination rates with timely estimates on projected times remaining until 70%+ immunity for all major economies.

Global vaccination campaigns accelerated further this past week, reducing the projected timeline towards 70%+ immunity by 5% to 4.7 months. Once again, much of this progress stemmed from developed markets, which are now inoculating a record 8M people per day. Developed markets have administered an initial dose to 46% of their populations, with consistent improvements in the initial take-up rate in most major economies excluding the United States.

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Numera’s Herd Immunity Tracker: An impressive 6-month run

June 11, 2021 | Press

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

MONTREAL, QC, June 11, 2021 (Press Release) – Numera today released the latest update of its Herd Immunity Tracker. This report will be published weekly for the remainder of the year. Its purpose is to complement available information on COVID-19 vaccination rates with timely estimates on projected times remaining until 70%+ immunity for all major economies.

This week marked the 6-month anniversary since the official start of COVID vaccination campaigns. During this period, the world has administered a staggering 2.2 billion doses, with near-consistent improvements in the global pace of inoculation. At the current rate, the world should surpass the 70% immunity threshold in less than 5 months, versus a 14-month timeline merely two months ago.

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Numera’s Herd Immunity Tracker: A break-through month

June 4, 2021 | Press

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

MONTREAL, QC, June 4, 2021 (Press Release) – Numera today released the latest update of its Herd Immunity Tracker. This report will be published weekly for the remainder of the year. Its purpose is to complement available information on COVID-19 vaccination rates with timely estimates on projected times remaining until 70%+ immunity for all major economies.

Since early May, improvements in vaccine distribution have significantly cut back projected times towards herd immunity. In only four weeks, daily inoculation rates have doubled to 0.6% of the global population, reducing the timeline towards 70%+ immunity by 5M.

Much of this progress stems from emerging markets, led by an extremely rapid rollout in China. In developed markets, accelerating vaccinations in Europe and Canada offset a weakening take-up rate in the US.

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