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Global retail sales rise 4.6% in 2017 as cyclical deviations widen; headline inflation at 3.8% in Q4
Global retail spending slowed down somewhat in December, falling 0.1% from its November level. As a result, retail volumes closed the year up 4.6% from 2016, exceeding the rate of growth implied by fundamentals (+4.4%). Transitory income shocks have now pushed private consumption 0.5% above its stable growth path, adding to inflationary pressures. Global CPI inflation accelerated in the fourth quarter, rising 3.8% SAAR. Considering PPI inflation is currently well above its steady-state level (4.1% versus 1.7%), we expect consumer prices…Read More
Webinar – Recovered Paper’s Changing Dynamics
Bloomberg Intelligence, Numera Analytics and Vertical Research Partners analysts invite you to join us for a joint webinar regarding key issues in the volatile recovered-fiber market and its impact on market pulp and corrugated packaging. To participate in this webinar taking place on June 20, 2018, 10:00 AM EDT, please register here.Read More
Numera’s Global Reach
Our recent expansion led us to hire three new analysts, all of whom share a passion for economics and data-driven solutions. Pierce Mullin graduated from University College London with a MSc in Economics (Distinction); François Chastanet comes to us from HEC Paris by way of Brazil and obtained an MBA from HEC Montreal; Demetra Papanagiotou obtained her first degree in Financial Management & Banking from the University of Piraeus in Greece and furthered her education at Concordia in Montreal, graduating with…Read More
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