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Global retail sales rise 4.6% in 2017 as cyclical deviations widen; headline inflation at 3.8% in Q4
Global retail spending slowed down somewhat in December, falling 0.1% from its November level. As a result, retail volumes closed the year up 4.6% from 2016, exceeding the rate of growth implied by fundamentals (+4.4%). Transitory income shocks have now pushed private consumption 0.5% above its stable growth path, adding to inflationary pressures. Global CPI inflation accelerated in the fourth quarter, rising 3.8% SAAR. Considering PPI inflation is currently well above its steady-state level (4.1% versus 1.7%), we expect consumer prices…Read More
Webinar – The Frenzied Pulp Market – Where It’s At, Where it’s Going
Bloomberg Intelligence, Numera Analytics, and Vertical Research Partners analysts invite you to join us for a joint webinar on key issues regarding the global pulp market, which has seen an extraordinary run-up in prices this year due to accelerated global economic growth, a slower than expected ramp-up of new capacity, unscheduled mill downtime and an environmental clampdown in China on polluting capacity and recovered paper imports. Will the market be vulnerable in 1H18 to new and resumed supply, and if…Read More
Numera’s Global Reach
Our recent expansion led us to hire three new analysts, all of whom share a passion for economics and data-driven solutions. Pierce Mullin graduated from University College London with a MSc in Economics (Distinction); François Chastanet comes to us from HEC Paris by way of Brazil and obtained an MBA from HEC Montreal; Demetra Papanagiotou obtained her first degree in Financial Management & Banking from the University of Piraeus in Greece and furthered her education at Concordia in Montreal, graduating with…Read More
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